The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2023 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints won 2-1 on December 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 78′J. WilliamsThe New Saints
- 81′C. MarriottThe New Saints
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Penybont(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Arbroath(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Bala Town(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Penybont(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 The New Saints win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 1-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2022 | The New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 25, 2022 | The New Saints 3-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2022 | The New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints on Sep 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 4.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 4.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy