The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier League2nd Phase - 9Kick-off on April 20, 2019 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints won 3-1 on April 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 12′Kurtis ByrneThe New Saints
- 19′D. ThomasCaernarfon Town
- 78′Gregory Alexander DraperThe New Saints
- 81′Kurtis ByrneThe New Saints
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Barry Town(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Newtown AFC(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Bala Town(away) | 7-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Barry Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 22, 2019 | Bala Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2019 | Newtown AFC(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Barry Town(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2019 | Bala Town(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 The New Saints win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2018 | The New Saints 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 1-3 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Caernarfon Town 2-3 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints on Feb 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 4.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 4.4 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 13/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy