The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 14Kick-off on November 9, 2018 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
Caernarfon Town won 0-1 on November 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 86′Nathan CraigCaernarfon Town (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2018 | Llandudno(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2018 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2018 | Bala Town(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 The New Saints win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 1-3 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Caernarfon Town 2-3 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints on Aug 31, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy