The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Group - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints won 2-1 on February 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′D. RedmondThe New Saints
- 45′Bradley Jamie Ethan YoungCaernarfon Town
- 59′B. WilsonThe New Saints
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 The New Saints win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | The New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | The New Saints 3-0 Caernarfon Town | League Cup |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 1-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 2-5 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 2.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy