The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 22Kick-off on April 2, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Park Hall Stadium, Oswestry / Croesoswallt, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints won 4-1 on April 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 8′B. HudsonThe New Saints
- 47′R. BrobbelThe New Saints
- 71′R. BrobbelThe New Saints
- 84′B. HudsonThe New Saints
- 90′Paulo MendesCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Flint Town United(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Bala Town(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Penybont(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Cardiff MET(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Bala Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Flint Town United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 The New Saints win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | Caernarfon Town 0-4 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2019 | The New Saints 1-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | The New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2018 | The New Saints 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints on Sep 27, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
The New Saints score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | 2.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The New Saints sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy