The Strongest vs Bolívar: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for The Strongest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win The Strongest vs Bolívar?
Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The Strongest have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bolívar have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 The Strongest win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Bolívar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Bolívar 0-0 The Strongest | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Jan 30, 2026 | The Strongest 2-2 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Nov 30, 2025 | The Strongest 2-3 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2025 | The Strongest 3-5 Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Bolívar 1-0 The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
Last archived meeting: The Strongest vs Bolívar on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
The Strongest score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Bolívar | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for The Strongest vs Bolívar?
- The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for The Strongest.
- Where and when is The Strongest vs Bolívar played?
- The Strongest vs Bolívar is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.