Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nagoya Grampus: result 0-1 and analysis
Emperor Cup4th RoundKick-off on September 10, 2014 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi
Full time
What was the result of Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nagoya Grampus?
Nagoya Grampus won 0-1 on September 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 75′Marcus Tulio TanakaNagoya Grampus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2014 | Yokohama FC(away) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 1-3 | J2 League |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Oita Trinita(away) | 1-2 | J2 League |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Urawa(away) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 17, 2014 | FC Gifu(home) | 2-2 | J2 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2014 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Kashima(home) | 2-3 | J1 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 2.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nagoya Grampus | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy