Thisted FC vs Middelfart: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes Thisted FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Middelfart?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Thisted FC (1,688) and Middelfart (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Middelfart have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Thisted FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Middelfart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart 4-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Middelfart 3-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Thisted FC 1-0 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Middelfart 3-0 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Thisted FC 1-3 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Thisted FC 1-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Middelfart vs Thisted FC on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and Middelfart sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Middelfart?
- The Footlab model makes Thisted FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Middelfart played?
- Thisted FC vs Middelfart is played on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.