Thisted FC vs VSK Århus: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs VSK Århus?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Thisted FC (1,689) and VSK Århus (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; VSK Århus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | tst Fodbold(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HIK(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Thisted FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 VSK Århus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus 3-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VSK Århus 0-0 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Thisted FC 2-2 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Thisted FC 1-2 VSK Århus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2021 | VSK Århus 3-2 Thisted FC | DBU Pokalen |
| May 30, 2021 | Thisted FC 1-1 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: VSK Århus vs Thisted FC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VSK Århus score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| VSK Århus | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and VSK Århus sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs VSK Århus?
- The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs VSK Århus played?
- Thisted FC vs VSK Århus is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.