Middelfart vs Roskilde: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Middelfart Stadion, Middelfart
The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middelfart vs Roskilde?
Roskilde starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middelfart have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Roskilde have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | B 93(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Handelsstandens(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Middelfart win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Roskilde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde 1-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| May 18, 2024 | Roskilde 0-0 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Middelfart 2-0 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Roskilde 3-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Middelfart 0-1 Roskilde | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Roskilde vs Middelfart on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Roskilde | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middelfart sit 3rd in 2. Division (7 points from 4 matches) and Roskilde sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middelfart vs Roskilde?
- The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart.
- Where and when is Middelfart vs Roskilde played?
- Middelfart vs Roskilde is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Middelfart Stadion, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.