Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thivas, Thebes
The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Katsantonis Agrafon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon?
On Elo ratings, Thiva has 1,425 points and Katsantonis Agrafon 1,529.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Katsantonis Agrafon
Not enough data to predict the Katsantonis Agrafon lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thiva have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Katsantonis Agrafon have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nea Artaki(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lamia(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thiva score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Katsantonis Agrafon score 0.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiva | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Katsantonis Agrafon | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thiva sit 11th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (0 points from 2 matches) and Katsantonis Agrafon sit 8th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Katsantonis Agrafon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Katsantonis Agrafon.
- Where and when is Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon played?
- Thiva vs Katsantonis Agrafon is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thivas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.