Thiva vs Lamia: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thivas, Thebes
The Footlab AI model makes Lamia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Thiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lamia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thiva vs Lamia?
Lamia starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thiva vs Lamia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Lamia
4-4-1-1- 11A. Vlachomitros
- 8V. Sourlis
- 2A. Dentakis
- 7Rober Ibáñez
- 6V. Sakor
- 36A. Tshibola
- 5N. Gkotzamanidis
- 30Carles Soria
- 21V. Vitlis
- 94Giorgos Giannoutsos
- 28A. Syritoudis
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thiva have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Lamia have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Nea Ionia(away) | 0-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou(home) | 2-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Katsantonis Agrafon(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thiva score 1.0 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lamia score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiva | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Lamia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thiva sit 11th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (0 points from 2 matches) and Lamia sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lamia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Thiva vs Lamia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thiva vs Lamia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lamia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Thiva.
- Where and when is Thiva vs Lamia played?
- Thiva vs Lamia is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thivas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.