Match

Thornaby W vs Chorley W: prediction and stats

FA Women's Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Thornaby WChorley W

The Footlab AI model makes Thornaby W the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Chorley W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,018 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thornaby W vs Chorley W?

On Elo ratings, Thornaby W has 1,869 points and Chorley W 1,883.

51%20%29%
Thornaby W winDrawChorley W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Thornaby W vs Chorley W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Thornaby W

Not enough data to predict the Thornaby W lineup.

Chorley W

Not enough data to predict the Chorley W lineup.

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Thornaby W have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Chorley W have 4, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thornaby W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2024Liverpool Feds W(home)2-7FA Women's Cup
Oct 13, 2024Rotherham United(away)1-1FA Women's Cup
Chorley W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2024Stockport County W(home)2-3FA Women's Cup
Nov 26, 2023Newcastle United W(home)0-5FA Women's Cup
Nov 19, 2023Wigan Athletic(away)4-0FA Women's Cup
Oct 29, 2023Poulton Victoria(away)3-0FA Women's Cup
Dec 12, 2021Newcastle United W(home)0-3FA Women's Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Thornaby W score 1.5 and concede 4.0 goals per match over their last 2; Chorley W score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Thornaby W1.54.002/21/2
Chorley W2.41.752/98/9

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

A question about Thornaby W vs Chorley W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thornaby W vs Chorley W?
The Footlab AI model makes Thornaby W the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Chorley W.
Where and when is Thornaby W vs Chorley W played?
Thornaby W vs Chorley W is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Women's Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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