Thurrock vs Welling United: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round Qualifying ReplaysKick-off on October 9, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Thurrock Hotel, Thurrock, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Thurrock vs Welling United?
Welling United won 1-3 on October 9, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Thurrock have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Welling United have 2, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Welling United(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Romford(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Horsham(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Basildon United(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 26, 2011 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Thurrock(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Concord Rangers(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Concord Rangers(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 10, 2011 | East Thurrock United(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Thamesmead Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Thurrock wins, 1 draw, 0 Welling United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Welling United 1-1 Thurrock | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Thurrock on Oct 6, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Thurrock score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 9; Welling United score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurrock | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/9 | 6/9 |
| Welling United | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0 | 7/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
A question about Thurrock vs Welling United?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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