Tienen vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Tienen (1,777) and Thes Sport (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tienen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Thes Sport 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tienen 1-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Tienen 3-2 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Thes Sport 0-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Tienen 4-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Thes Sport 4-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tienen sit 15th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Thes Sport played?
- Tienen vs Thes Sport is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.