Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hoogstraten. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merelbeke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,837) and Hoogstraten (1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Hoogstraten
Not enough data to predict the Hoogstraten lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hoogstraten have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 3-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dender(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Merelbeke win, 0 draws, 4 Hoogstraten wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hoogstraten 2-3 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Hoogstraten 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Hoogstraten 2-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Merelbeke 1-3 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hoogstraten score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hoogstraten | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Hoogstraten sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoogstraten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hoogstraten.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten played?
- Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.