Tilikratis vs Panegialios: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Platonas Gligoris, Lefkas
The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tilikratis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tilikratis vs Panegialios?
Panegialios starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tilikratis have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Panegialios have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pelopas Kiatou(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Miltiadis Pyrgos(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Korinthos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tilikratis win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Panegialios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Tilikratis 0-0 Panegialios | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Panegialios 1-2 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tilikratis vs Panegialios on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Tilikratis score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panegialios score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilikratis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Panegialios | 1.9 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tilikratis vs Panegialios?
- The Footlab model makes Panegialios the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tilikratis.
- Where and when is Tilikratis vs Panegialios played?
- Tilikratis vs Panegialios is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Platonas Gligoris, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.