Tillmitsch vs SV Lafnitz: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 10Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nunner Arena Tillmitsch, Tillmitsch
The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for SV Lafnitz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tillmitsch vs SV Lafnitz?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Tillmitsch (1,683) and SV Lafnitz (1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tillmitsch have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; SV Lafnitz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fürstenfeld(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tillmitsch(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartberg (Am)(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Weiz(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tillmitsch win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SV Lafnitz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz 1-3 Tillmitsch | Regionalliga - South |
Last archived meeting: SV Lafnitz vs Tillmitsch on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tillmitsch score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Lafnitz score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tillmitsch | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SV Lafnitz | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tillmitsch sit 6th in Regionalliga - South (6 points from 3 matches) and SV Lafnitz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tillmitsch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | SV Lafnitz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tillmitsch vs SV Lafnitz?
- The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for SV Lafnitz.
- Where and when is Tillmitsch vs SV Lafnitz played?
- Tillmitsch vs SV Lafnitz is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nunner Arena Tillmitsch, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.