Tillmitsch vs Weiz: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nunner Arena Tillmitsch, Tillmitsch
The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Weiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tillmitsch vs Weiz?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Tillmitsch (1,683) and Weiz (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tillmitsch have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Weiz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fürstenfeld(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Allerheiligen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deutschlandsberger SC(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lebring(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tillmitsch win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Weiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Weiz 7-0 Tillmitsch | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Weiz 4-4 Tillmitsch | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tillmitsch score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weiz score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tillmitsch | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Weiz | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tillmitsch sit 6th in Regionalliga - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Weiz sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tillmitsch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Weiz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tillmitsch vs Weiz?
- The Footlab model makes Tillmitsch the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Weiz.
- Where and when is Tillmitsch vs Weiz played?
- Tillmitsch vs Weiz is played on September 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nunner Arena Tillmitsch, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.