Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
Tira starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tira win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Tira 5-0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Tira 0-1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Mar 16, 2018 | Tira 0-3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
- Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Feb 13, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTzeirey Tamra
- Feb 13, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Feb 13, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsIroni Nesher
- Feb 13, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Bnei Musmus