Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira?
Tira starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 2-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tira is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 20, 2027Ironi NeshervsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Feb 20, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Feb 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsBeitar Nahariya
- Feb 20, 2027Tzeirey TamravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm