Match

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye

Ironi Baka El GarbiyaTzeirey Tamra

The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Tzeirey Tamra?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,588).

Ironi Baka El Garbiya win50 %
Draw24 %
Tzeirey Tamra win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)4-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)1-2Liga Alef
Tzeirey Tamra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away)3-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tira(home)1-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home)2-4Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2025Tzeirey Tamra 1-0 Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Baka El Garbiya1.41.529/159/15
Tzeirey Tamra1.42.3310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949333031
12Tzeirey Tamra227312324724

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Tzeirey Tamra?
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra.
Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Tzeirey Tamra

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