Tivoli vs Paganese: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 34Kick-off on May 7, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olindo Galli, Tivoli
Full time
What was the result of Tivoli vs Paganese?
Tivoli won 3-1 on May 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 44′Francesco De FelicePaganese
- 73′?Tivoli
- 90′192052Tivoli
- 90′?Tivoli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tivoli have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Paganese have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Ilvamaddalena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Nola 1925(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | USD Palmese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Aprilia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Pomezia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lupa Roma(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Real Monterotondo(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Cassino(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tivoli win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Paganese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | Paganese 2-0 Tivoli | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Tivoli score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tivoli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Paganese | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy