Tocantinópolis vs Brasiliense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DPre-Qualifying RoundKick-off on September 6, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Ribeiro, Tocantinópolis, Tocantins
Full time
What was the result of Tocantinópolis vs Brasiliense?
Tocantinópolis won 1-0 on September 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 45′Elifran MendesTocantinópolis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tocantinópolis have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Brasiliense have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Interporto(home) | 0-0 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Sparta(home) | 2-1 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Araguacema(home) | 3-3 | Tocantinense |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Atlético Cerrado(away) | 3-0 | Tocantinense |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Nova Conquista(away) | 2-1 | Tocantinense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2020 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Gama(home) | 3-1 | Brasiliense |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Real FC(home) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Real FC(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Luziânia(home) | 2-1 | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Tocantinópolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brasiliense score 2.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Brasiliense | 2.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tocantinópolis sit 5th in Serie D (12 points from 10 matches) and Brasiliense sit 3rd (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brasiliense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Tocantinópolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy