Tochigi SC vs Kagoshima United: result 1-0 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on April 24, 2016 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
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What was the result of Tochigi SC vs Kagoshima United?
Tochigi SC won 1-0 on April 24, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2016 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2016 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Apr 3, 2016 | YSCC(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Oita Trinita(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy