Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kagoshima United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 0-0 Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 0-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Gainare Tottori 1-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Kagoshima United 0-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC GifuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Nov 14, 2026KanazawavsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 14, 2026Tochigi SCvsNara Club
- Nov 14, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 14, 2026KitakyushuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Nov 14, 2026FC RyukyuvsKochi United
- Nov 14, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsSagamihara
- Nov 14, 2026Parceiro NaganovsEhime FC