Match

Tochigi SC vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SCNara Club

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Nara Club (1,664).

Tochigi SC win55 %
Draw23 %
Nara Club win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Urayasu(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)3-2J3 League
Jun 7, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-1J2/J3 League
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tochigi SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nara Club win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2025Tochigi SC 1-1 Nara ClubJ3 League
May 17, 2025Nara Club 0-0 Tochigi SCJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Nara Club on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC1.31.158/157/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Tochigi SC3120545
14Nara Club3102583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Nara Club played?
Tochigi SC vs Nara Club is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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