Tochigi SC vs Nara Club: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Nara Club (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tochigi SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nara Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Nara Club 0-0 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Nara Club on Aug 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Nara Club.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Nara Club played?
- Tochigi SC vs Nara Club is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC GifuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Nov 14, 2026KanazawavsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 14, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 14, 2026KitakyushuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Nov 14, 2026FC RyukyuvsKochi United
- Nov 14, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsGainare Tottori
- Nov 14, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsSagamihara
- Nov 14, 2026Parceiro NaganovsEhime FC