Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab AI model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tochigi SC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,734) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tochigi SC
4-3-3- 10T. Igarashi
- 9Y. Kondo
- 25T. Yamaguchi
- 15Haruki Tsutsumi
- 17K. Sugimori
- 11T. Aoshima
- 3R. Higashi
- 26Tomoki Tabata
- 37Yuto Kimura
- 6K. Abe
- 41R. Tashiro
Roasso Kumamoto
4-3-3- 9Bae Jeong-Min
- 22E. Matsuda
- 11R. Watanabe
- 4Rei Yakushida
- 25K. Nasu
- 7K. Fujii
- 24Ri Thae-Ha
- 26Shumpei Toda
- 41Y. Omoto
- 2K. Kuroki
- 1S. Sato
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 3-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tochigi SC win, 2 draws, 3 Roasso Kumamoto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tochigi SC 1-3 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Tochigi SC 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 13th in J3 League (18 points from 15 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027FC GifuvsNara Club
- Apr 10, 2027KanazawavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Apr 10, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsKitakyushu
- Apr 10, 2027Ehime FCvsSagamihara
- Apr 10, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsOsaka
- Apr 10, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Apr 10, 2027Gainare TottorivsFC Ryukyu
- Apr 10, 2027Parceiro NaganovsKochi United