Kagoshima United vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Kagoshima United (1,814) and Osaka (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kagoshima United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2025 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Osaka 3-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Osaka 2-3 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Kagoshima United 2-0 Osaka | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2015 | Osaka 0-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Osaka on Jul 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Osaka | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Osaka.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Osaka played?
- Kagoshima United vs Osaka is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 10, 2027KanazawavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Apr 10, 2027Tochigi SCvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Apr 10, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsKitakyushu
- Apr 10, 2027Ehime FCvsSagamihara
- Apr 10, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Apr 10, 2027Gainare TottorivsFC Ryukyu
- Apr 10, 2027Parceiro NaganovsKochi United