Kagoshima United vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagoshima United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Kagoshima United (1,875) and Osaka (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kagoshima United vs Osaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kagoshima United
4-3-3- 9R. Arita
- 22Aura Takahashi
- 18K. Kawamura
- 14K. Yoshio
- 7W. Tanaka
- 8K. Fujimura
- 35G. Egawa
- 44Yoshitaka Aoki
- 2R. Saga
- 5Y. Yamada
- 31D. Sakata
Osaka
4-4-2- 9T. Shimada
- 95K. Isa
- 14S. Sumida
- 11G. Yoshida
- 10R. Kubo
- 17S. Morimura
- 6S. Tachino
- 25Riku Kuwako
- 5Y. Minakuchi
- 2K. Sakamoto
- 1H. Sugawara
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 06:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Osaka have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kagoshima United wins, 0 draws, 2 Osaka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Osaka 2-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Osaka 3-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Osaka 2-3 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Kagoshima United 2-0 Osaka | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Kagoshima United on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Osaka | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 1st in J3 League (29 points from 13 matches) and Osaka sit 4th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
A question about Kagoshima United vs Osaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Osaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Osaka.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Osaka played?
- Kagoshima United vs Osaka is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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