Roasso Kumamoto vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | Fukushima United 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J-League Cup |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Fukushima United 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Fukushima United 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto on Mar 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Fukushima United played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Fukushima United is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 17, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsParceiro Nagano
- Apr 17, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsKamatamare Sanuki
- Apr 17, 2027KitakyushuvsEhime FC
- Apr 17, 2027FC RyukyuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Apr 17, 2027SagamiharavsBiwako Shiga
- Apr 17, 2027Kochi UnitedvsTochigi SC
- Apr 17, 2027Nara ClubvsKanazawa