Match

Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde

TodesfeldePhönix Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Phönix Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Todesfelde (1,999) and Phönix Lübeck (1,954).

Todesfelde win48 %
Draw22 %
Phönix Lübeck win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Todesfelde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Schöningen(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026St. Pauli II(home)6-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026Hansa Rostock II(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2025Todesfelde 0-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 21, 2024Phönix Lübeck 3-1 TodesfeldeRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 20, 2022Phönix Lübeck 1-1 TodesfeldeFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Todesfelde2.51.295/159/15
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
10Todesfelde412111115

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck?
The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Phönix Lübeck.
Where and when is Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck played?
Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Todesfelde and Phönix Lübeck

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