Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde
The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Phönix Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Todesfelde (1,999) and Phönix Lübeck (1,954).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 6-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Todesfelde 0-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 3-1 Todesfelde | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Todesfelde | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todesfelde | 2.5 | 1.2 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Todesfelde | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Phönix Lübeck.
- Where and when is Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck played?
- Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsEimsbütteler TV
- Feb 20, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Feb 20, 2027VfB LübeckvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Feb 20, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsHannover 96 II
- Feb 20, 2027HSC HannovervsSt. Pauli II
- Feb 20, 2027VfB OldenburgvsHamburger SV II
- Feb 20, 2027Kickers EmdenvsWeiche Flensburg
- Feb 20, 2027SchöningenvsBremer SV