Match

Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix LübeckTodesfelde

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Todesfelde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,961) and Todesfelde (1,993).

Phönix Lübeck win39 %
Draw23 %
Todesfelde win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Todesfelde have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Todesfelde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Schöningen(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026St. Pauli II(home)6-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026Hansa Rostock II(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Todesfelde win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2025Todesfelde 0-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 21, 2024Phönix Lübeck 3-1 TodesfeldeRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 20, 2022Phönix Lübeck 1-1 TodesfeldeFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15
Todesfelde2.51.295/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Todesfelde sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
10Todesfelde412111115

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Todesfelde.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde played?
Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phönix Lübeck and Todesfelde

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