Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Todesfelde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,961) and Todesfelde (1,993).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Todesfelde have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 6-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Todesfelde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Todesfelde 0-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 3-1 Todesfelde | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Todesfelde | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs Phönix Lübeck on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Todesfelde | 2.5 | 1.2 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Todesfelde sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Todesfelde | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Todesfelde.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsKickers Emden
- Sep 16, 2026Bremer SVvsVfB Oldenburg
- Sep 16, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 16, 2026SSV JeddelohvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Sep 16, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsSt. Pauli II
- Sep 16, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsVfB Lübeck
- Sep 16, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsWerder Bremen II
- Sep 16, 2026SchöningenvsWeiche Flensburg