VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II?
VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 0-4 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 22, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 5-0 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 0-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 1, 2023 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II played?
- VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsEimsbütteler TV
- Feb 20, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Feb 20, 2027VfB LübeckvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Feb 20, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsHannover 96 II
- Feb 20, 2027HSC HannovervsSt. Pauli II
- Feb 20, 2027Kickers EmdenvsWeiche Flensburg
- Feb 20, 2027TodesfeldevsPhönix Lübeck
- Feb 20, 2027SchöningenvsBremer SV