Match

VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg

VfB OldenburgHamburger SV II

The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II?

VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,844).

VfB Oldenburg win65 %
Draw19 %
Hamburger SV II win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Oldenburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026Werder Bremen II(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026Paderborn II(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Hamburger SV II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Todesfelde(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 24, 2025Hamburger SV II 0-4 VfB OldenburgRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 22, 2025VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Sep 22, 2024Hamburger SV II 5-0 VfB OldenburgRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 24, 2024Hamburger SV II 0-2 VfB OldenburgRegionalliga - Nord
Sep 1, 2023VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Oldenburg2.11.7312/1512/15
Hamburger SV II1.51.8111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2VfB Oldenburg431011310
18Hamburger SV II40135111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II?
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hamburger SV II.
Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II played?
VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Oldenburg and Hamburger SV II

Ready to know everything about football?