TOGB vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 40%, against 20% for a draw and 40% for Dongen. The most likely score is 2-2. If TOGB wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs Dongen?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate TOGB (1,683) and Dongen (1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TOGB vs Dongen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dongen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 TOGB wins, 0 draws, 0 Dongen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Dongen 2-6 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 18, 2022 | TOGB 1-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 15th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Dongen sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about TOGB vs Dongen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs Dongen?
- The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 40%, against 20% for a draw and 40% for Dongen.
- Where and when is TOGB vs Dongen played?
- TOGB vs Dongen is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.