TOGB vs UNA: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab model makes TOGB the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for UNA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs UNA?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate TOGB (1,723) and UNA (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UNA have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TOGB win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 UNA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA 1-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2026 | TOGB 2-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 9, 2025 | UNA 1-2 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 13, 2025 | TOGB 1-2 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 10, 2024 | UNA 2-0 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 7, 2024 | TOGB 3-0 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 13th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and UNA sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | UNA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | TOGB | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs UNA?
- The Footlab model makes TOGB the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for UNA.
- Where and when is TOGB vs UNA played?
- TOGB vs UNA is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.