Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 20Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Rudar Trbovlje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Tolmin (1,492) and Rudar Trbovlje (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Rudar Trbovlje have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Dob(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tolmin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rudar Trbovlje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tolmin 0-1 Rudar Trbovlje | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rudar Trbovlje 4-1 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rudar Trbovlje score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rudar Trbovlje | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 8th in 3. SNL - West (2 points from 2 matches) and Rudar Trbovlje sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rudar Trbovlje | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Tolmin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje?
- The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Rudar Trbovlje.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje played?
- Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.