Vipava vs Šobec Lesce: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 20Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ob Beli, Vipava
The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vipava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipava vs Šobec Lesce?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Vipava (1,365) and Šobec Lesce (1,388).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipava have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Šobec Lesce have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 0-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Dob(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-5 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Vipava win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Šobec Lesce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vipava 1-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Šobec Lesce 0-0 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
| May 8, 2021 | Šobec Lesce 1-2 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Vipava vs Šobec Lesce on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vipava score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipava | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Šobec Lesce | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipava sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Šobec Lesce sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Šobec Lesce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | Vipava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipava vs Šobec Lesce?
- The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vipava.
- Where and when is Vipava vs Šobec Lesce played?
- Vipava vs Šobec Lesce is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ob Beli, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.