Svoboda vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 21Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Svoboda, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Svoboda. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svoboda vs Tolmin?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,491 vs 1,302).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Svoboda vs Tolmin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Svoboda
Not enough data to predict the Svoboda lineup.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svoboda have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 3-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Svoboda wins, 0 draws, 4 Tolmin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tolmin 2-0 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Svoboda 1-2 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tolmin 3-0 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| May 8, 2021 | Svoboda 2-5 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Svoboda score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svoboda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svoboda sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 9 matches) and Tolmin sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Svoboda vs Tolmin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svoboda vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Svoboda.
- Where and when is Svoboda vs Tolmin played?
- Svoboda vs Tolmin is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Svoboda, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.