Izola vs Adria: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 15Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestni stadion Izola, Izola
The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Adria. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izola vs Adria?
Izola starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,378).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izola have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Adria have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adria(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Litija(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Tolmin(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Vipava(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Primorje(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Izola win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Adria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adria 2-4 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Adria 0-1 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Izola score 2.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Adria score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izola | 2.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Adria | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izola sit 1st in 3. SNL - West (6 points from 2 matches) and Adria sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Adria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izola vs Adria?
- The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Adria.
- Where and when is Izola vs Adria played?
- Izola vs Adria is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni stadion Izola, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.