Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Šobec Lesce. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,503 vs 1,342).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Šobec Lesce
Not enough data to predict the Šobec Lesce lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Šobec Lesce have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Adria(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Litija(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tolmin wins, 0 draws, 1 Šobec Lesce win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tolmin 1-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Šobec Lesce 3-0 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| May 22, 2021 | Tolmin 6-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Šobec Lesce 1-5 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Šobec Lesce score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Šobec Lesce | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (15 points from 9 matches) and Šobec Lesce sit 13th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Šobec Lesce | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Šobec Lesce.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce played?
- Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.