Žiri vs Svoboda: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Športnem Parku Polje, Žiri
The Footlab model makes Svoboda the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Žiri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žiri vs Svoboda?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Žiri (1,377) and Svoboda (1,363).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žiri have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Svoboda have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Adria(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Žiri win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Svoboda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Žiri 2-0 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Svoboda 0-0 Žiri | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Žiri 0-1 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Žiri score 1.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Svoboda score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žiri | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Svoboda | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žiri sit 5th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Svoboda sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Žiri | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Svoboda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žiri vs Svoboda?
- The Footlab model makes Svoboda the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Žiri.
- Where and when is Žiri vs Svoboda played?
- Žiri vs Svoboda is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Športnem Parku Polje, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.