Match

Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21: prediction and stats

Liga MX U21Regular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Toluca U21Monterrey U21

The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Monterrey U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

Toluca U21 starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,483).

68%17%15%
Toluca U21 winDrawMonterrey U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Toluca U21

Not enough data to predict the Toluca U21 lineup.

Monterrey U21

Not enough data to predict the Monterrey U21 lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca U21 have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Monterrey U21 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Toluca U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Atl. San Luis U21(home)4-1Liga MX U21
Oct 9, 2026Tigres UANL U21(away)2-1Liga MX U21
Sep 26, 2026Cruz Azul U21(away)3-2Liga MX U21
Sep 20, 2026Santos Laguna U21(home)2-1Liga MX U21
Sep 12, 2026Atlas U21(home)2-0Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Club America U21(away)0-3Liga MX U21
Sep 25, 2026Atlante U21(away)4-5Liga MX U21
Sep 19, 2026Cruz Azul U21(home)2-0Liga MX U21
Sep 13, 2026Tigres UANL U21(home)1-2Liga MX U21
Aug 30, 2026Atl. San Luis U21(home)4-1Liga MX U21

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Toluca U21 win, 1 draw, 0 Monterrey U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Monterrey U21 0-2 Toluca U21Liga MX U21
Sep 24, 2025Toluca U21 1-1 Monterrey U21Liga MX U21

Last archived meeting: Monterrey U21 vs Toluca U21 on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Toluca U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Toluca U212.01.059/1510/15
Monterrey U211.71.6310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Toluca U21 sit 1st in Liga MX U21 (31 points from 11 matches) and Monterrey U21 sit 13th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Toluca U2111101021831
13Monterrey U2110415181613

A question about Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Monterrey U21.
Where and when is Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 played?
Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga MX U21.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Toluca U21 and Monterrey U21

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