Toluca vs Club America: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on October 20, 2022 at 02:06 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Club America?
Toluca won 2-1 on October 20, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 23′H. OrtegaToluca
- 42′L. FernándezToluca (pen.)
- 79′E. LaraClub America
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Club America have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Santos Laguna(home) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 9, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Puebla(home) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Puebla(away) | 6-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Nashville(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Club America win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2022 | Club America 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Club America 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Toluca 3-1 Club America | Liga MX |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Toluca 3-1 Club America | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Club America 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Club America 2-0 Toluca | Copa por México |
Last archived meeting: Club America vs Toluca on Jul 14, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Club America score 3.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Club America | 3.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Club America sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy