Tigres UANL vs Club America: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza
The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Club America. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Club America?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Tigres UANL (1,997) and Club America (2,039).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres UANL have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Club America have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tigres UANL win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Club America win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Club America 1-1 Tigres UANL | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Club America 1-4 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-3 Club America | Liga MX |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Club America 3-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Tigres UANL 1-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Club America 2-1 Tigres UANL | Campeón de Campeones |
Last archived meeting: Club America vs Tigres UANL on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres UANL score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club America score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Club America | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres UANL sit 16th in Liga MX (1 points from 3 matches) and Club America sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres UANL vs Club America?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Club America.
- Where and when is Tigres UANL vs Club America played?
- Tigres UANL vs Club America is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.