Toluca vs Club Queretaro: result 4-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Club Queretaro?
Toluca won 4-0 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′N. CastroToluca
- 22′PaulinhoToluca
- 30′A. VegaToluca (pen.)
- 66′J. AnguloToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Club Queretaro have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leon(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Campeones Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 6-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Club Queretaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Toluca 5-0 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Queretaro 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Club Queretaro 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Club Queretaro 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Toluca 4-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Club Queretaro on Feb 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Queretaro score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Club Queretaro | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Club Queretaro sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy