Club Queretaro vs Necaxa: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corregidora, Santiago de Querétaro
The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Necaxa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Club Queretaro (1,842) and Necaxa (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Queretaro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Necaxa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Club Queretaro win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Club Queretaro 3-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Necaxa 3-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Necaxa 2-0 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Club Queretaro 2-2 Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Club Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| May 3, 2024 | Necaxa 1-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club Queretaro vs Necaxa on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Queretaro score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Queretaro sit 7th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
- The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Necaxa.
- Where and when is Club Queretaro vs Necaxa played?
- Club Queretaro vs Necaxa is played on November 23, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corregidora, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.