Toluca vs FC Juarez: result 2-4 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 3Kick-off on July 16, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs FC Juarez?
FC Juarez won 2-4 on July 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′A. UrziFC Juarez
- 20′R. MoralesToluca
- 64′S. SaucedoFC Juarez
- 70′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
- 77′A. EscotoFC Juarez
- 90′Aitor GarcíaFC Juarez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FC Juarez have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Necaxa(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Club America(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Club America(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Club America(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Juarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Toluca 3-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Toluca 0-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 24, 2021 | FC Juarez 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Toluca 0-1 FC Juarez | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Juarez score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Juarez | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Juarez sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy