FC Juarez vs Atlas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
The Footlab model makes FC Juarez the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atlas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Atlas?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate FC Juarez (1,822) and Atlas (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Juarez have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Atlas have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club America(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-6 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Juarez win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Juarez 3-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atlas 3-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Atlas 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Juarez 2-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Atlas 2-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Juarez 1-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Juarez score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlas | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Juarez sit 18th in Liga MX (0 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Juarez vs Atlas?
- The Footlab model makes FC Juarez the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atlas.
- Where and when is FC Juarez vs Atlas played?
- FC Juarez vs Atlas is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.