FC Juarez vs Atlas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
The Footlab AI model makes Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Juarez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlas wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Atlas?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate FC Juarez (1,817) and Atlas (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Juarez vs Atlas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Juarez
5-3-2- 19Ó. Estupiñán
- 11J. Rodríguez
- 6Monchu
- 5D. García
- 13Rodrigo Dourado
- 3J. Murillo
- 2G. Sepúlveda
- 33F. Nevárez
- 4A. Mayorga
- 26D. Piña
- 1S. Jurado
Atlas
3-4-2-1- 9F. Monzón
- 10Luís Esteves
- 15Paulo Ramírez
- 16M. Valenzuela
- 18E. Montiel
- 3J. Sánchez
- 8R. Mmaee
- 44J. Purata
- 28M. Capasso
- 13G. Aguirre
- 12C. Vargas
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Juarez have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Atlas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 2-5 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Juarez win, 2 draws, 3 Atlas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Juarez 3-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atlas 3-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Atlas 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Juarez 2-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Atlas 2-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Juarez 1-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Juarez score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlas | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Juarez sit 18th in Liga MX (3 points from 10 matches) and Atlas sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 3 |
A question about FC Juarez vs Atlas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Juarez vs Atlas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlas the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Juarez.
- Where and when is FC Juarez vs Atlas played?
- FC Juarez vs Atlas is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.