Toluca vs FC Juarez: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 14, 2024 at 01:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Toluca won 3-2 on July 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 10′PaulinhoToluca
- 17′M. MosqueraToluca (o.g.)
- 48′J. VenegasFC Juarez
- 54′Á. ZaldívarFC Juarez
- 71′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Juarez have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Cruz Azul(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 1, 2024 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Juarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Toluca 2-4 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Toluca 3-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Toluca 0-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Juarez score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Juarez | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Juarez sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy