Toluca vs FC Juarez: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 10Kick-off on March 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Toluca won 3-1 on March 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′HelinhoToluca (pen.)
- 70′A. BriseñoToluca
- 72′Guilherme CastilhoFC Juarez
- 90′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; FC Juarez have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Club America(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Juarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Toluca 0-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Toluca 3-2 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Juarez score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Juarez | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Juarez sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy